Why Bitcoin Dropped to $57,800?

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Bitcoin has experienced an approximately 11% decline over the past three days, leaving the market in a state of fear and uncertainty. This sudden downward shift, which occurred despite Bitcoin’s previous upward momentum, has puzzled investors. Today, the market hit a low of $57,800. Let’s explore the possible reasons behind this drop.

The Russia-Ukraine Conflict

One of the primary factors contributing to this decline is the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Historically, major global conflicts have shaken risky asset markets, and this situation is no exception. Wars typically induce panic about market collapses, leading retail investors to sell off their assets in an attempt to avoid losses. In the case of cryptocurrencies, this panic is particularly potent, often driving the market further down. The recent Ukrainian drone strike on Russian oil facilities has raised concerns about the potential escalation of this war, exacerbating market fears.

Since August 6, Bitcoin ETFs have seen the highest net outflows, totaling $127.10 million. While most BTC ETFs have attracted significant inflows, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) has experienced a notable outflow of 1,469.04 Bitcoin. Currently, this fund holds 22,770 Bitcoin, with approximately 10 BTC flowing out in the past day alone.

Fearful Speculation

The market is steeped in pessimism as short-term holders panic and begin selling off their assets. Last week, Bitcoin reached $65,000, but it has since dropped to $59,005. This price pressure has been exacerbated by short-term holders who recently faced losses of around 17% due to market corrections. As prices return to break-even levels, many of these investors are choosing to sell, creating resistance and further contributing to the downward momentum.

The market is overwhelmed with fear due to a mix of market and non-market factors. The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 30 points from 48 yesterday, clearly indicating a shift towards pessimism. Long positions have been liquidated, heightening market anxiety. If the conflict between Ukraine and Russia continues, it’s likely that the market will face further declines.