Bitcoin Price Decline Causing Turbulence in Global Markets

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Bitcoin’s steep price drop this week has piqued the interest of investors across the globe, who often view the digital asset’s fluctuations as prophetic signs for global markets. As of now, BTC is trading down 4.5% at $57,453, with a market capitalization of $1.13 trillion.

Bitcoin price implies complexity to the global market

On the weekly chart, Bitcoin price has extended its decline into double digits, with investors forecasting a further decline towards $50,000. April ended with Bitcoin down 16%, the worst month since FTX collapsed in November 2022.

Some investors are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s movements to gauge the impact on the liquidity dynamics of other assets. Bitcoin prices have dropped over the past few weeks as the Federal Reserve suggests interest rates may continue to rise in the future. The policy has tightened financial conditions by increasing Treasury yields and the value of the dollar.

In its latest decision, the FOMC decided to maintain interest rates at 5.25% to 5.50%, unchanged from July 2023. Many in the crypto community are expecting a cut from the US Fed. interest rate cut on May 1, which may have boosted stock and cryptocurrency market prices.

However, Jerome Powell has indicated that the Fed intends to keep interest rates steady until inflation falls to its 2% target. In a note to investors, ByteTree Asset Management Chief Investment Officer Charlie Morris wrote:

Bitcoin is an important symbol in our financial world, a warning signal for impending market volatility, but also a hope for future recovery. The recent strength of the US dollar could be a sign of an upcoming tightening of market laxity.

Spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs in Hong Kong

While the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs in Hong Kong has excited some, the overall mood in the US market is bearish. On Wednesday, US Bitcoin ETFs saw massive outflows of $560 million, with BlackRock’s IBIT recording its largest withdrawal since its inception.

Interest in these products subsequently waned and the market received no boost from the launch of Bitcoin and Ether ETFs in Hong Kong this week. The decline in net asset value of some US investment portfolios has widened to unprecedented levels, highlighting the challenges that can arise from Bitcoin’s volatility. Youwei Yang, chief economist and vice president of BIT Mining Ltd., a cryptocurrency mining company, said:

“Over the next three to four months, the mood is likely to become less bullish and more risk-on, as markets closely monitor inflation, employment and economic data for any breakdown any surprises or to increase confidence in the possibility of cutting interest rates.”

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