Bitcoin Continues Downtrend, Potential for $120,000 Still in Sight

Bitcoin continues to decline but still has the potential to reach $120,000, as analysts debate the local bottom and risks from leveraged trading.

Azcnews Breaking Bitcoin Continues Downtrend, Potential For $120,000 Still In Sight

Bitcoin has extended its downward trend this week, dropping to $96,500 in the past 24 hours. Despite testing the demand zone between $94,300 and $95,800 and sweeping liquidity around the $96,200 level, a bullish reversal has yet to materialize in the short term.

Analyst Mikybull suggests that, despite the current consolidation phase, Bitcoin could still reach a new all-time high of $120,000 if it follows the historical seasonal pattern observed between 2014 and 2018.

Historically, February has been a strong month for Bitcoin. Based on cyclical data, Bitcoin appears to be on track for a higher surge in 2025. Since 2013, the cryptocurrency has delivered an average return of 14.08% in February, with only two instances of negative performance in the past decade. Additionally, Bitcoin’s average Q1 return stands at 52.43%, lower than its historical Q4 average of 84% since its inception.

Bitcoin Monthly Returns
Bitcoin Monthly Returns

Market researcher Danny Marques also believes that Bitcoin’s recent dip to $91,000 may mark a local bottom.

“Bitcoin will hit $120,000 sooner than you think—and fast. This is how I view the next few weeks and months for those following the charts,” he stated.

However, despite the arguments supporting a local bottom, data analytics platform Alphractal warns that leveraged trading remains Bitcoin’s “biggest risk,” potentially leading to a retest of the $80,000 level.

In a post on X, the platform highlighted a significant increase in long positions in October 2024, creating a notable liquidity gap between $72,000 and $86,000—an area of relatively low trading activity. As a result, a sharp drop below $80,000 could trigger liquidations of long positions built since November 2024.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart

On the other hand, a cluster of short positions exists just above $111,000, opened in December 2024. However, it is important to note that the number of long positions currently outweighs short positions by a 2-to-1 ratio.

Read more: Trump Accused of Profiting from Memecoin

Additionally, the decline in open interest from $76 billion to $59 billion suggests a reduction in leverage usage across the market. This trend may indicate lower risk appetite among traders, potentially impacting Bitcoin’s price stability in the coming weeks.

(1 vote)

3.0/5

(1 vote)

Latest

Ripple’s Rlusd Stablecoin Officially Approved In Dubai

News | Editor Choice | Policy & Regulations

Ripple’s RLUSD Stablecoin Officially Approved in Dubai

Ripple’s RLUSD – the company’s new stablecoin – has just been approved in Dubai, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy and reinforcing its position in the digital finance market.

Ig Group Is The First Company In The Uk To Offer Crypto Trading

Editor Choice | Policy & Regulations

IG Group is the first company in the UK to offer crypto trading

IG Group, an investment platform in the UK, has officially launched services for buying, selling, and storing cryptocurrencies for investors.

Russia’s Largest Bank Launches Bitcoin Linked Bonds

News | Bitcoin | Editor Choice

Russia’s Largest Bank Launches Bitcoin-Linked Bonds

Sber — Russia’s largest commercial bank — has made headlines by launching a Bitcoin-linked bond, marking a significant step toward integrating digital assets into the country’s traditional financial system.

Ethereum Foundation Restructures Staff, Renames Core Development Team

News | Altcoin | Editor Choice

Ethereum Foundation Restructures Staff, Renames Core Development Team

The Ethereum Foundation (EF) has recently restructured its core development team and reduced headcount to place greater emphasis on scalability and user experience.

Pi Network Launches Fruitypi To Enhance The Utility Of Pi

Pi Network | Editor Choice

Pi Network launches FruityPi to enhance the utility of PI

The Pi Core Team (PCT) has officially launched FruityPi, a game designed to enhance the utility of PI Coin.