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Bitcoin, within the $40,000 to $43,000 range for an extended period, has fueled significant speculation regarding its future trajectory. Despite the price volatility, BTC has managed to maintain its dominance in the market.
Adding more insight, Kaiko’s data reveals a slight uptick in BTC’s 2% market depth since the end of December. Market depth, referring to the total volume of buy and sell orders within a 2% range of Bitcoin’s current market price, offers valuable information about supply and demand dynamics at various price levels.
👀#BTC's 2% market depth has seen a slight uptick since the end of December.
📏However, it still falls short of its pre-FTX levels, suggesting that market makers have not returned in full force. pic.twitter.com/YGBEHs5uej
— Kaiko (@KaikoData) January 30, 2024
Although the market depth has expanded, it hasn’t yet reached its pre-FTX levels. This suggests a degree of caution or hesitation among market participants in fully committing to BTC at its previous intensity, despite the positive trend.
A surge in market depth for Bitcoin is generally favorable, indicating increased liquidity and a more appealing environment for investors. This enhanced liquidity facilitates smoother trading and attracts a wider range of participants, potentially instilling confidence in the market.
However, it’s crucial to note that if the surge in market depth is primarily driven by speculation or market manipulation, it could result in abrupt and significant price fluctuations.
Traders are currently expressing a relatively positive outlook on the future of Bitcoin, evident in the recent decline of the put-to-call ratio from 0.52 to 0.46 over the past few weeks. One contributing factor to this shift is the decrease in Implied Volatility (IV) for Bitcoin.
Related: Stablecoin Flows Foreshadow Next Moves for Bitcoin
The diminishing Implied Volatility plays a significant role in influencing trader sentiment, signaling a decrease in market uncertainty and perceived risk. When IV declines, traders may interpret this as an indication that Bitcoin is likely to undergo less drastic price fluctuations in the short term.
This shift in perception could impact traders’ decision-making processes, steering them towards strategies that capitalize on more predictable market conditions. Examples include directional trading or the utilization of less risky options strategies. At the current moment, Bitcoin is trading at $43,361.83, reflecting a 2.88% price increase over the last 24 hours.
