The first half of 2025 has been a rollercoaster ride for XRP – the cryptocurrency closely tied to Ripple. From explosive price rallies driven by political events to sharp corrections triggered by global tensions, XRP has remained in the spotlight and tested investors’ resilience.
Rallies Fueled by U.S. Election and Presidential Orders
XRP’s most notable price surge came during the U.S. presidential election, when Donald Trump secured victory. Following the news, XRP skyrocketed to $2.70 in December 2024 and continued its rally to reach $3.20 in January 2025 – marking its highest level in four years.
In March, XRP made headlines again after being mentioned in Trump’s proposed “U.S. Strategic Crypto Reserve.” The executive order sparked a near 10% surge in XRP’s price within 20 minutes, pushing it to $2.20.
Volatility from Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Data
However, XRP’s upward trend was frequently interrupted. Between April and June, geopolitical tensions – particularly the conflict between Iran and Israel – caused a sharp market downturn. XRP dropped to a multi-month low of $1.79 before recovering as the conflict eased.
Macroeconomic factors such as U.S. GDP reports, CPI data, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions also played a significant role in XRP’s fluctuations, keeping it range-bound between $2.15 and $2.40.
Still, June brought some positive momentum. Key developments included Ripple dropping its appeal in the SEC lawsuit, growing optimism for a potential XRP spot ETF, and the SEC’s approval of the Grayscale XRP Trust. Currently, XRP trades around $2.19 with a market cap exceeding $129 billion and daily trading volume of nearly $3 billion.
Outlook for the Second Half: ETF Hopes and Breakout Potential
Looking ahead, XRP could gain further traction if the SEC approves a spot ETF, especially after Solana received the green light for its staking ETF. Updates in the Ripple-SEC legal battle, potential new partnerships, and upcoming U.S. economic reports (CPI, unemployment, inflation, FOMC press conferences) will all influence the token’s path.
Crypto analysts like Javon have set ambitious targets, forecasting a breakout to $4.80 – or even $27 – if XRP can decisively break through the key resistance at $2.65.
