Bitcoin Signals a Recovery, Opportunities Are Emerging

Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery as technical momentum improves and whales return to accumulation, but the market still faces significant risks and key resistance levels remain difficult to overcome.

Bitcoin Signals A Recovery, Opportunities Are Emerging

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing the first signs of a potential recovery, supported by the TD Sequential buy indicator on the hourly chart and improving technical momentum.

Although it has yet to surpass the $96,000 threshold, a range of on-chain and derivatives market data suggests that Bitcoin may be in a phase of accumulation ahead of a breakout—provided that key structural signals continue to align.

Whales are buying again—but not with full force

Bitcoin Puell Multiple
Bitcoin Puell Multiple

A positive sign comes from increased net inflows to large wallets: the Netflow indicator rose by 26.41% over the past week, reflecting short-term confidence at the current price level. However, 30-day and 90-day net flows have plummeted by -108.09% and -110.13% respectively, indicating that long-term selling pressure is still lingering and may hinder a sustainable recovery.

Meanwhile, data from Glassnode recorded over 925,000 active addresses in the past 24 hours—the highest level in six months—signaling renewed network activity. However, Santiment’s DAA divergence sits at -225.82%, warning that BTC’s price is rising faster than actual user growth, a potential sign of excessive market excitement detached from fundamentals.

Valuation metrics paint a mixed picture

Current valuation indicators for Bitcoin are sending conflicting signals. The Puell Multiple stands at 1.36—considered a healthy range for miner profitability. However, the NVT and NVM ratios have surged by 50% and 26% respectively, suggesting that market capitalization is outpacing both transaction volume and user activity. At the same time, the Stock-to-Flow ratio has dropped by 50%, reflecting waning confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term scarcity-driven valuation.

Overall, the market remains in a “gray zone” in terms of valuation—not overpriced, but not clearly undervalued either.

Key price levels: $94,000 and $98,000

Liquidation Heatmaps On Binance
Liquidation Heatmaps On Binance

Liquidation heatmaps on Binance show dense liquidity clusters forming around the $94,000 and $98,000 levels—two critical price points that could determine BTC’s next move.

If BTC breaks above $98,000, a cascade of short liquidations could propel prices upward. Conversely, a drop below $94,000 may trigger long liquidations, increasing selling pressure across the board.

Bitcoin is gaining upward momentum with increased network activity and renewed interest from whales. However, long-term selling pressure, negative price-to-activity divergence, and mixed valuation signals suggest the $98,000 mark remains a tough barrier in the short term.

While a recovery may be underway, traders are advised to remain cautious and await further confirmation from key technical indicators before making decisive moves.

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